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It is amazing how on up days everyone on TV is bullish. The next day the market is down and most people are saying the end of the world is here. Too Humorous.
POT PEOPLE; Must Read Below
It was a great testimony to the hedge yesterday. All month we have been wanting to have 200 long SPX deltas and a hedge that will make money on the way down ā not just protect.
Below is the PNL for yesterday. Keep in mind that we have some real big hedges below that didn’t even blow up yet, but will if the markets continue to fall. The positions lost about $2k but the hedges made about $8k. Exactly what we were trying to attempt. And if we crashed we wanted to make 50-100% on the account, but the markets were down less than <2%.Ā
Fun Times!
Closing Prices From YesterdayĀ
THIS WEEK’S EARNINGS
This is not all of the earnings, rather a small portion that Random Walk has been watching in POT.
Yesterday And today
Yesterday
Kaboom….Someone sat on a whoopee cushion and everyone was looking for someone to blame.
Was it the Argentinian bond default? (No). Was is the Ukraine (No). Did a foreign event happen that we didn’t hear about? (No). Did everyone in the Congress and Senate get re-elected? (No). Did ISIS gain control over the last 50 feet of Iraq? (No). Could it be that the media started to report honestly instead of from their own unique whacky liberal bias? (No). Did Yellen Raise interest rates? (No. The fed can’t afford higher rates).
It was just the day for the markets to fall. Relax people. The SPX was in a 39 point range all month. We have had positive market gains for the last 6 months in a row. Mind numbing complacency has set in as anal-cysts on television have foretasted everything from Dow 10,000 to 30,000. The problem is one of those predictions will eventually be right, but all the wrong ones are still invited back next week to explain why they were wrong (āNobody told me that the Fed was going to……ā).
We have 2% moves often ā just not of late. And when we are this high the numbers are big. When the Dow was at 9,000 a 2% move was 180 points. Up here a 2% move is closer to 340 points. Besides it was bound to happen when Obama was on TV bragging about yesterday’s 4% GDP number ā like restrictive legislation and government oversight had anything to contribute in a positive way.
Today
Huge Numbers Today and All Day!
How cool would it be if we fell another 2% today! !
Oh, your just a casual reader and not hedged? That’s fine. The Dow is only 600 points off its highs. There is still time to get hedged before the BIG ONE comes. But remember, you could not get flood insurance in New Orleans too easy after the levy broke.
I would actually be surprised if this is the BIG ONE. It wouldn’t upset me. And in all honesty it would surprise me since we got such a week move higher at the top.Ā
POT is held each Wednesday night at 7:00pm eastern.
Contract the office at 1- 855 ā RWT ā 0008 for more details.
Too True To Be Funny
Amazing. I thought the only words she knew where āWhat kind of inside information do you have for me to trade on today?āĀ
Attorney Stuff
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Trading is almost as much fun as black jack in Vegas, but without all the annoying distractions of free drinks, Broadway shows, gorgeous people with low morals, and free buffets. It also has about the same odds of success, so when you lose all your money you wont have to walk past a smiling pit boss. Even Bruce Wayne lost everything with options in The Dark Knight Rises, and Superman keeps his day job at the DailyPlanet newspaper.
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